Sunday, November 30, 2008

Trade Flow measuring Import and Export.
Trade flow as the basis of all international transactions.
Just as the investment environment of a given
economy is a price determinant of its currency
valuation. Trade flow represent a country' s net
trade balance.
Country that are net exportes meaning
they export more to international clients
than they import from international producers
will experience a net trade surplus. Country
that are net exportter are more likely to have
their currency risein value.

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Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Fundamental [Fixed Income Maket]

Fixed Income Market
Just as the equity market is correlated to
exchange rate movement ,so to is the fixed
income market. In times of global uncertainty,
fixed income investment can become particularly
appealing due to the inherent safety they possess.
As a result economies boasting the most
valuable fixed income opportunities will be
capable of attracting foreign investment
which will naturally first required the
purchasing of the country's currency.
A good guage of fixed income capital
flow are the short and long term yield
of International Government between
the yield on the 10-year US Treasury
Note and the yield on the Foreign Bonds .

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Monday, November 24, 2008

Forex for Rookies[ Fundamentals]

Portflolio Flow-Portfolio flow involve measuring
capital inflow and outflows in equity markets
and fixed income market. Lets takes a look
at the equity market .Technology has made it
easy with respect to transportation of capital
investing , the global equity market has become
much feasible. A rallying stock market in any
part of the world serves as an ideal opportunity
for all despite geographic location.
The result of such has become a strong correlation
between a country's equity markets and its currency.
If the equity market is rising investment
dollar generally come in . Alternatively
falling equity market could prompt domestic
investor to sell their share for local publicly
traded firms to capture investment
opportunity abroad.

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Sunday, November 23, 2008

Forex Fundamental & Recession/Depression

How would the USD/EUR respond
since the US Economy is the hub of the world
economy. The consumer market is drying.
So what will happen to the dollar? Creating
a weakness for other currencies.
The new adminstration don't have a clue
of whats ahead.
Remember these are the same people that
have been making decision in Congress.
Get ready for the Depression.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

More Fundamentals In FX Market

Today we look at Capital and Trade flow

Capital flows and trade flows constitute a country's
balance of payments which quantifies the amount of
demand for a currency over a given period oftime.
Theoretically a balance of payments equal to zero
is required for a currencyto maintain its current
valuation. A negative balance of payment number
indicates that capital is leaving the economy at a
more rapid rate than it is entering, and hence
theoretically the currency should fall in value.

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Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Forex for Rookies

Fundamental

Interest Rate

We are looking at interest rate, it is said that countries that have high
interest rate should see their currencies appreciate in value while,
while countries with low interest rate should see their currencies
depreciate in value.
This future exchange rate is reflected into the forward exchange
rate of the British Pound is said to be at discount because it buys
fewer Canadian Dollars in the forward rate than it does in the spot
rate . The Canadain Dollar is said to be at premium.
In the US the FOMC usually meet periodically to setup interest
rate.

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MORE FUNDAMENTAL COMING

Monday, November 17, 2008

Forex Fundamental for Rookies

Macroeconomic Events

US politic 2008

One of the major event impacting on a currency pair is political
events. thats why the 2008 us presidential race between Barrack
Obama and John Mc Cain of the Republican Party.
When we look at the monthly chart EUR/USD ,from the time
the poles start to predict Barrack Obama in the lead. The Eur/Usd
move from 1.6000 down to 1.2330 to date.
The dollars will gain some ground as the new adminstration seek
solution to the economic mess created by the Bush administration.
As fresh and new ideas come to Washington; look forward for the
dollar to gain some strength against the Euro.

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Sunday, November 16, 2008

Software Billions Club

Hello Friends
I am alive and well to all you who thought I am gone.
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Foot ball today Miami Dolphin doing good but i still feel
they should have got Brady Quinn and built the team around
him.